Fertility and Population change

INTRODUCTION

      This paper talks about fertility, its problems and solution to fertility issues or control. On the perspective of fertility we will be talking about death rate, birth Rate among others. The issue of fertility and population cannot be over emphasized as they both tend to complement each other i.e. fertility increase or decrease can lead to a corresponding increase and decrease in the population which could be termed population change.
     Further more, factors influencing population change is also emphasized and this is the subsequent or frequent movement of people in and out of a country which could be termed immigration {movement of people into a country} and emigration {movement of people from a Country}.
   In Nigeria, there is a tremendous increase in the number of birth per family resulting to over population thereby stressing the available scarce natural resources of the country. Based on statistics there is need to curtail and control population growth rate in other to establish an optimum population that is in equilibrium with the available resources so as to ensure a stable and rising economy.
   As a health educator, our main objectives is to create awareness by establishing a degree of sensitization of the public against high fertility rate as well as the need for family planning in order to prevent the re-occurrence of pass problems by studying and solving the present pervading population problems for future benefits.
     Finally there are various measures to be taken as regards fertility and population change. These measures include government policies, family planning, and use of contraceptives, abortion and sterilization. By so doing fertility can be controlled and population change kept at equilibrium so as to ensure a healthy living and economic boom.



Fertility and population change

Fertility: There are varying perspectives with which fertility can be defined therefore fertility can be seen as a condition, degree or state of being fertile. It can also be define as the birth rate of a given population. Fertility also called maternity, is gotten from the Latin word laetitia letitia which means fertile,  joy or ecstasy thus fertility can be define as the ability of an individual to reproduce {i.e. the production of life birth} or the capable-ness of a male individual to impregnate a female individual {able to produce mature sperm}.

Fertility measurement

    The fertility potential/rate of a country like other terms in population concept can be accurately measured and estimated. Fertility measurement is the accurate and explicit determination and examination of the fertility potential of a country. In measuring fertility, necessary data ought to be collected and used. The collection of necessary data for the necessary measurement of fertility includes:

v    Census: This is the official head count of given population; through census the fertility of a given country can be measured or estimated as it gives necessary data for fertility measurement. this is possible because via census the number of fertile women and children under age five(5) can be estimated and then imputed to determine the fertility rate of a given country or nation. Thus in fertility measurement census helps collect useful data for fertility measurement.

v    Vital registration system: This is a properly functioning system with high a coverage that does not systematically under or over represents a particular sub groups. It is a gold standard for obtaining vital events statistics. The vital registration system helps to establish the number of births and prenatal events, population size and others thus with the vital registration system can help us gather the data that will help us in measuring fertility. The records produce by this registration process serve a dual function.

v    National respective sample surveys e.g. world fertility survey {WFS}, demographic and health surveys {DHS} e.t.c. are some useful means of collecting fertility data necessary for fertility measurement.
Data derived from these sources are used to establish the fertility potential of a country or nation as well as the whole world.

 Example:

A formula of imputation is identified;

                 Fertility potential =  number of children (under age 5years)  × 1000
                                                                                  
                                                         number of women (age 15-49years)

Effects of Fertility
            
       The effects of fertility shall be categorized into two areas and they include the below stated effects;

v  Effects of high fertility
v  Effects of low fertility

Effects of high fertility

1.      High fertility can lead to greater pressure on the natural resources of country.
2.      High fertility leads to an uneven distribution of natural resources on the population
3.      High fertility will affect the economic growth of a country by increasing the productive output in the long run.
4.      High fertility leads to critical human capital investment that is why parents consciously decide to have fewer children in order to invest more per child.
5.      High fertility leads to resources depletion {i.e less financial and time investment per child}, as it has been found out that children from large families attain less in school.
6.      High fertility leads to a greater level or number of unemployment in a country.
7.      High fertility leads to competition on the natural resources for survival purpose.
8.      High fertility rate leads to population growth, which under certain circumstances, can cause a condition known as over population and over population is not a function of the number or density  of individuals, but rather the number of individuals compared to the resources they need to survive.
Note: when the fertility rate is above the replacement level, leads to population growth and potential over population, which can have negative consequences.

Effects of low fertility

1.      Low fertility affects the economic growth of a country by reducing the productive output.
2.      Low fertility leads to a low pressure on the natural resources of a country thus leading to economic waste.
3.      Low fertility leads to a lower level of unemployment of country and this on the other hand stands positive as employment thrives
4.      Low fertility also helps in balancing or reducing the human capital investment of the country.
5.      Low fertility helps in resources management and conservation.
6.      Low fertility can lead to an even distribution of natural resources on the population of a country.

Factors affecting fertility

      There are different factors that can affect fertility and they include age, environment, lifestyle, health status, education, culture and tradition, industrialization or advancement in technology, and heredity.

Age: It’s currently believed that women are born with between 1 and 2 million eggs, with the number decreasing of eggs in the throughout life. A gradual decline in fertility begins around age 32 and continues to decrease rapidly after age 37 because of the reduction in the number quality or eggs in the ovaries. The lower number of eggs leads to changes in hormone levels, which further reduces a woman’s fertility. This factor causes a decrease in fertility, when an old woman attempts to have a child. On the other hand, a younger woman has the ability to have more children because of the high number of eggs. Age plays a vital role on female fertility.

Lifestyle: the sperm can be affected by lifestyle factors such as smoking, drinking alcohol, and taking drugs. Even increase in temperature of the testicles affects fertility. The best degree of temperature is 34.5 degrees, which is just below normal body temperature. Cooler environment is needed to produce the best-quality sperm e.g. working in a hot environment, such as a bakery etc or sitting for long periods has been linked to raise testicle temperature. This may affect sperm’s ability to mature leading to poorer sperm quality and a temporary drop in sperm production.
      Some form of exercise when excessively done, affects sperm counts and interfere with ovulation in women. Cycling causes poor sperm quality, low sperm count and less mobile sperm. The cycling is good, when it is excess, it causes harm. Also, staying at a healthy weight helps to keep your sperm in good condition. You can do this by having a healthy, balanced diet and exercising regularly. Being overweight (BMI of 25 or higher) may lower the quality and quantity of the sperm.
      In women, weight loss or low weight may affect the hormonal signals that the brain sends to a woman’s ovaries. In mild cases, a woman’ ovaries may still make and release eggs, but the lining of the uterus may not be ready to have a fertilized egg implant because of inadequate hormone levels. In more serious cases, the woman’s ovaries may not produce eggs at all. They may have irregular or no menstrual cycles.
      Smoking reduces fertility in men and women. In fact, the fertility of a -30 -year old woman who smokes is on par with a 40 year smoker. Smoking decreases the flow of oxygen to all your organs, including the uterus and ovaries. This results in an increased rate of egg loss and higher rates of genetic damage to the eggs, and poorly functioning fallopian tubes. It also causes higher rate of ectopic pregnancy and an unhealthy environment within the uterus that contributes to higher rates of miscarriage.

Health Status: having auto-immune disorder: Diseases such as impus, diabetes, thyroid disease and rheumatoid arthritis can interfere with fertility. Fallopian tube disease accounts for about 20 percent of infertility cases treated, according to RESOLVE: The National infertility Association. Tubal scaring or blockage is often caused by sexually transmitted disease pelvic inflammatory disease etc.

Environment: Prolonged exposure to high mental stress, high temperatures, chemicals, radiation, or heavy electromagnetic or microwave emissions may reduce a woman’ fertility.

Heredity: Endometriosis is a condition which is hereditary. It is a condition in which tissue from the uterine lining grows outside the uterus, on the ovaries, fallopian tubes, bladder, or bowel. Research indicates that it accounts for between 5 and 30 percent of female infertility.

What is population?

            The geographers see population as the total number of organisms living together in a given geographical area or territory over a given period of time. Population is also the summation of all the organisms of the group or species that live in the same geographical area and have the capacity of interbreeding.
            In ecology the population of a certain species in a certain area is estimated using the Lincoln index. The area that is used to define a sexual population is define as the area where interbreeding is potentially possible between any pair within the area. The probability of interbreeding is greater than the probability of cross breeding with individuals from other areas. Under normal conditions, breeding is substantially more common within the areas than across the border.
           In sociology, population refers to a collection of human beings and demography is a social science which entails the statistical study of human population.

Theory of population

            According to the Malthusian theory of population, population increases in a geometric progression or ratio, whereas the resources being scarce tend to increase at an arithmetic progression or ratio. This disharmony would lead to widespread of poverty and starvation which can only be checked by natural occurrences such as diseases, high infant mortality, famine, war or moral res. His major contribution was on the agricultural sector. According to this theory, there are two steps to control population and they are preventative/preventive checks and positive checks.

Preventative/preventive checks mean control in birth rate, and the use of different methods to control birth. Preventive/preventative checks help regulate the population of a nation as it aims to achieve an optimum population with a balanced resource distribution as it gradually check the birth rate of given population.

Positive checks are those natural phenomena used to control population for example war, famine, chaos and earthquakes serves as a positive check for regulating or controlling population growth or increase rate.

Epidemiological Transition Theory by Omran

            Abdel Omran in 1971 propounded a transition theory that best explain how population from the early time transcends through time. The epidemiological transition theory is phase of development witnessed by a sudden and stark increase in population growth rates brought about by the medical innovation in disease or sickness therapy and treatment, followed by  a re-leveling of population growth from subsequent declines in fertility rates. “Epidemiological transition theory “accounts for the replacement of infectious disease by chronic disease over time due to expanded public health and sanitation.

Theory: Omran divided the epidemiological transition theory into three phases, in the last of which chronic diseases replaced infection as primary cause of death. These three phases are as follows;

1.      The age of famine and pestilence: where mortality is high and fluctuating, precluding sustained population growth, with low and variable life expectancy, vacillating between 20 and 40 years.

2.      The age of receding pandemics: where mortality progressively declines with the rate of decline accelerating as epidemic peaks decreasing in frequency. Average life expectancy increase steadily from about 30 to 50 years. Population growth is sustained and begins to exponential.

3.      The age of degenerative and man-made diseases: mortality continues to decline and eventually approach stability at a relative low level. The epidemiological transition occurs as a country undergoes the process of modernization from developing nation to developed nation status. The development of modern healthcare, and medicine like antibiotics, drastically reduces infant mortality rates and extends average life expectancy which, coupled with subsequent declines in fertility rates, reflects a transition to chronic and degenerative diseases as more important cause of death.

Factors affecting population

       There are several factors that can affect or influence population and some of these factors includes;
1.      Birth rate
2.      Death rate
3.      Migration
4.      Natural disaster
5.      War{local and international}
6.      Political factor/Government policies

v  Birth rate: this is the number of live birth recorded in a calendar year in ratio to the mid-year population multiplied by a thousand. The birth rate of a given population largely determines the population sizes of a given country thus a country with increased or high number of birth is likely to be highly populated or densely populated.

v  Death rate: this is the direct opposite of birth rate pertaining to the fact that it measures the total number of deaths in a given location/nation. Death rate can therefore be defined as the total number of deaths per 1000 of a given population. From the definition we get to see that an increase in the death rate of a country leads to a corresponding decrease in the population size just as an increasing population reflects a decline in the death rate given country.

v  Migration:  this can be defined as the movement of persons from one geographical location to another and can be looked from different perspectives which are immigration and emigration. Migration is a serious factor in determining the population size of a given geographical location as people tend to move to different location prior to their immediate needs and this leads to a fall in the population size of the origin and a corresponding rise in the population of the destination.

v  Natural disasters: another promising factor that greatly affect the population in natural disasters. Cases like earth quake, flooding, tsunami, tornado and other cyclone are disastrous events that greatly reduce the population of given location as accounts for a large number of death and might also cause migration.

v  War: war both at the local and international level reduces the population of war zone as people tend to move from war zone to places of peace and comfort, thus war prompts migration and indirectly reduces the population of given location either by migration or deaths {person killed during the war}.

v  Government policies {political factor}: often times the government might set up policies that restrict movement from and into a country. This really determines the population size of a country e.g. restricting the movement and nationalization of citizens in given country can actually maintain the population size of that country. This can also take the form of quarantine, making the migration process limited i.e. limiting the number of persons entering a particular country.

What is population change?

            Population change refers to change in the number of people during the specific time. The world population has not been stable. It has increased manifold. This subject is very closely related to demographics the statistics of how many people there are in a given population.
            This is actually due to changes in the number of births and deaths. For an extremely long period of human history until one 1800’s the world’ population grow steadily but slowly. Large numbers of babies were born, but they died early too. This was as there were no proper health facilities. Sufficient food was not available for all the people. Farmers were not able to produce enough to meet the food requirements of all the people. As a result, the total increase in population was very low.

Factors affecting population change

            Population change is as a result of population growth and several others whether positive or negative. Some of this factors affecting population change include;
a.       Age – sex structure
b.      Birth rate ( crude birth rate)
c.       Death rate (crude death rate)
d.      Growth rate
e.       Life expectancies
f.        Net migration

v    AGE – SEX STRUCTURE: The structure of the population is defined to be its age and sex composition. It is usually represented on a population pyramid having the male and female pats respectively.
The age and sex structure are important for the following reasons:

-            Birth and death vary with age; deaths among children and among the aged are important         indicators of the level of development a particular areas has.                                              

-                      There are diseases and illnesses that are more common with certain age groups and with either the male or female sex; therefore the health care requirements in a population vary with age and sex.
  • The Economic State Of A Particular Country Or Area: e.g. the cancer of the breast for female and the prostate cancer for males. Is influenced by the sex and age structure as the labor force and its efficiency is known.
The age-sex structure affects population change as a result of the higher sex in a population. If there are more females in such a population, fertile and young, these tends to be a rise in the population of such an area whereas if there are more males, the population will grow at a slow rate or no growth at all. The age-sex structure affects population of any given place.

v     BIRTH RATE (CRUDE BIRTH RATE): This refers to the number of life birth reported in a year divided by the total mid-year population and multiplied by 1000. It is also referred to as the “crude birth rate” this is became it usually refers to the total population without regard to sex or age composition of the population.
       If there are more and life births in a population there tends to be a change in population as an increase will be experienced. This is made possible by the now available basic amenities in various communities that aid the survival of life births (neonate survival).
       The continuous process of reproduction brings about a rise in population and if not monitored, it brings about lack of resources and low survival rate of infants born as medical attention will be scarce or unavailable.

v    DEATH RATE: if is defined as the number of deaths per 1000 estimated in a mid-year population. It is a measure of the rates at which death occur in a society. Death can be caused by number of factors which includes:
-                      Epidemics
-                      Lack of health services
-                      Unhealthy diets
-                      Susceptibility to diseases etc.

         These factors bring about the occurrence of death in a population as they do not support life. Death rate brings about a population change where a decline in the population number will be experienced. Death rate alters the strength of a population force, its capable to bring about economic development etc. death rate births a drop of any society or geographical area population number.

v    NET MIGRATION: Migration involves the inward and outward movement of people in a country or area. This is as a result of pull and push factors. Push factors are factors that force people to move out from one place to another e.g. war, famine, natural disasters etc. while pull factors are those favorable conditions that attract people to new locations e.g. better employment opportunities, higher standard of living.
        Net migration involves the difference between emigration and immigration. Emigration involves the movement of individuals out of a place or country while immigration involves the movement of individuals into a country or place. Net migration brings about population change when it is positive i.e. more immigrants move into a country and negative which is a fall in population of a country which is negative.
v    GROWTH RATE: The population size rarely remains the same; it changes over time. The changes in the total population of a country over tie are expressed by the parameter growth rate.
It is calculated by finding the difference in the total population between two dates (e.g. years) and dividing that difference by the length of time between the two dates. Thus growth rate expresses the amount of change in the population size per unit time.
The growth rate of a population is determined by the rates of birth, death and population movement in the country. Growth rate can be either positive or negative; it is positive if the total population has been increasing and negative if there is a decline in the total population.
Growth rate affects population as a decrease or increase experienced in the number of persons living in a country or location.

Recommendations on fertility and population change

            Human population control is the practice of artificially altering the rate of growth of a human population. There are various methods to control population change. They are:
1.      Family planning
2.      Government policies
3.      Contraceptives.
4.      Reducing infant mortality
5.      Abstinence
6.      Abortion
v    Family Planning: Family planning which can also be known as fertility control is the means of birth that are wanted, spaced, according to choice and time to fit in with life’s decision such as career break, reality. Family planning is a means of controlling birth by limiting the size of the family to the number that the couple or individual can conveniently provide for.
Family planning is the ability of individuals or couples to have the number of children they want at the time they want them is such a way that wanted birth superceeds unwanted births with the fullest possible understanding of the decision they make by doing so as well as assess to the means of meeting those decisions. In excess, family planning is the number of children you want and how to plan them.
The means of family planning could be as a result of: providing adequate nutrition for thee needed children, for a comfortable housing, for better quality of life, for a good education, and also to eliminate the need for abortion and its complications.
v    Government Policies: These are law implemented and enforced by the government of a country to regulate fertility and control population changes. Many countries including China, India and Singapore was reported in enforcing government policies. In China, the most significant population control system is the one-child policy in which with various exceptions, having more than one child is discouraged. Unauthorized births are punished by fines, although there have allegations of illegal forced abortions and forced sterilization. The Chinese government introduced the policy in 1978 to alleviate the social and environmental problems of China.
      According to government officials, the policy has helped prevent 400 million births. The success of the policy has been questioned, and reduction in fertility has also been attributed to the modernization of china.
     In India, only those with two or fewer children are eligible for election to a Gram Panchayat, or local government.
       We two, our two {“Hum do, hamare do” in Hindi} is a slogan meaning on family, two children and is intended to reinforce the message of family planning thereby aiding population control. Facilities offered by government to its employees are limited to two children only. Moreover, India was the first country to take measures for family planning back in 1951.
In Singapore, they underwent two major phases in its population control. First to slow and reverse the baby boom in the post world War II era; then from the 1980’s onwards to encourage couples to have more children as the birth rate has fallen below the replacement level fertility.
      The anti-Natalist policies flourished in the 1960’s and 1970’s. Initiatives advocating small families were launched and developed into “the stop at two programmes”, pushing for two children families and promoting sterilization.
      The policy was however soon abandoned due to the outing in the general election of the same year. Eventually, the government became pro-Natalist in the late 1980’s marked by its “Have three or more plan” in 1987.
       Other methods of fertility control include; Use of Contraceptives, Reducing infant mortality, abstinence and abortion.
      It should be noted that, the use of contraceptives and abstinence falls under family planning methods. While Reducing infant mortality, abortion and sterilization falls under government policies, as some government encourages Abortion [Singapore, China (sterilization)].

Conclusion
       Fertility and population change are interrelated since fertility determinants tends to influence the population increase or decrease rate. Fertility is the ability of an individual to reproduce offspring while population is the total number of people living in a given geographical location. From their respective definition it can be ascertained that the fertility of a given country largely determine the population size of the country thus fertility and population change is interrelated and inter-dependant as both functions for the complete comprehension of each other.
REFERENCES
Over population in India, retrieved November 12th 2013
United nation millennium project, retrieved June 20th 2009
“Population control: the eugenics connection”
Theresa Wong and Brenda S. A {2003}, fertility and the family: an over view of pro- natalist population policies in Singapore


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